Will Bitcoin go back to 100K?
Bitcoin’s journey back to $100,000 is under intense debate among analysts and traders alike. Experts have cited a potential low near $100,000 and a high reaching beyond $115,000 in the coming weeks.
As of May, 2025, Bitcoin trades around $108,123, reflecting minor recovery amid persistent bearish warnings. Understanding the technical signals, market psychology, and external factors shaping this trajectory is crucial for anyone watching Bitcoin’s next move.
Key Takeaways:
Hide- Blockchain News: Highlights the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement aligning with $100K and channel support at $105K. (Source: Blockchain News)
- CoinDesk: Discusses bearish MACD divergence and potential pullback risk below $107K toward $100K. (Source: CoinDesk)
Is it Possible for Bitcoin (BTC) Go Back to 100k?
The path of Bitcoin (BTC) to $100K hinges on a mix of technical patterns, sentiment indicators, and macroeconomic catalysts driving volatility and direction in the coming month.
Bearish Technical Indicators
The 30-day Rate of Change (ROC) shows bearish divergence—higher highs in price, but lower highs in momentum.
Additionally, the daily MACD histogram has turned negative, signaling weakening upward momentum that could fuel a pullback toward key support.
Sentiment Warning Signs
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index sits at “Extreme Greed” with a score of around 70-ish, historically a precursor to corrections.
Overbought RSI levels above 70 may trigger profit-taking, making Bitcoin vulnerable to a drop if buyers lose confidence.
Correlation with Traditional Markets
Bitcoin’s 0.68 correlation with the S&P 500 suggests spillover risk: a sell-off in equities could drag Bitcoin down in tandem.
With key U.S. GDP data due next week, any economic surprises or tightening measures could spook both markets.
Critical Price Levels
- Resistance: $112,000 (recent peak), $115,000
- Support: $107,000 (short-term floor), $105,000 (channel bottom), $100,000 (psychological barrier)
Price Prediction
If Bitcoin fails to hold $107,000 support and breaks below the ascending channel’s bottom around $105,000, a swift revisit of $100,000 within 2–4 weeks becomes likely. Conversely, a decisive hold could fuel a rebound toward $115,000 or higher.
Considerations for BTC HODLer
Navigating Bitcoin’s volatility requires disciplined strategies and awareness of technical and macro triggers affecting price movements.
- Set Stop-Loss Orders: Place stop-loss orders just below $107,000 to manage downside risk.
- Monitor RSI and MACD: Exit or hedge positions when RSI exceeds 70 or MACD histogram turns negative.
- Keep an Eye on News: Track U.S. GDP announcements and regulatory developments for catalysts that could amplify swings.
- Watch Correlations: Hedge equity exposure if the S&P 500 shows signs of stress, given historical synchronization.
- Avoid Emotional Trading: Stick to a plan; extreme greed often precedes sharp reversals.
The Potential Bitcoin Back to 100K
Bitcoin’s return to $100,000 is far from guaranteed but remains a tangible scenario if bearish momentum intensifies and market sentiment sours. Key support levels at $107,000 and $105,000 must hold to avoid a deeper correction.
External factors—like U.S. GDP results and equity market swings—could act as catalysts for a quick slide. However, if Bitcoin maintains its channel support and sentiment stabilizes, a recovery toward $112,000–$115,000 is feasible.
All in all, disciplined risk management and vigilance on technical and macro indicators will decide whether Bitcoin revisits $100K or charts a new highs path. Price predictions range from a dip to $100,000 within 2–4 weeks to a rebound above $115,000 by mid-summer.
